Irrigation
M. Mohammadi Ghaleni; H. Kardan Moghaddam
Abstract
IntroductionThe water quantity and quality has always been one of the main challenges in the issue of allocating water resources for different uses. Water quality management requires the collection and analysis of large amounts of water quality parameters that will be evaluated and concluded. Many tools ...
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IntroductionThe water quantity and quality has always been one of the main challenges in the issue of allocating water resources for different uses. Water quality management requires the collection and analysis of large amounts of water quality parameters that will be evaluated and concluded. Many tools have been found to simplify the evaluation of water quality data, and the water quality index (WQI) is one of these widely used tools. In summary, the WQI can be defined as a number obtained from the combination of several quality parameters based on standards for its extraction. The aim of this study was to develop and introduce the new Surface water Drinking Water Quality Index (SDWQI) adopt the water quality parameters measured on hydrometric stations of Iran. In developing this index, criteria such as the availability of required parameters in most rivers and simple and accurate methods have been considered. Also, the ability to calculate with the minimum general parameters of water quality, simple calculations and in terms of the international standard WHO for drinking is one of the advantages of the introduced index.Materials and MethodsFor this purpose, 12 water quality parameters including Total Dissolved Solids (TDS), Electrical Conductivity (EC), Total Hardness (TH), pH, Chloride (Cl-), Sulfate (SO42-), Carbonate (CO32-), Bicarbonate (HCO3-), Magnesium (Mg2+), Sodium (Na+), Calcium (Ca2+) and Potassium (K+) have been used from Rudbar and Astaneh hydrometric stations located on Sefidroud river. Then initial preprocessing on data e.g. correlation analysis, and multivariate statistical methods including cluster analysis (CA) and principal components analysis (PCA) are used to selecting and weighting of water quality parameters using the “clustering” and “factoextra” packages in R 4.1.1. In order to develop the SDWQI were performed four steps including, parameter selection, sub-indexing, weighting and aggregation of the index. Also, in order to evaluate the index of the present research, the results of the SDWQI have been compared with the WHO drinking water quality index and Schoeller drinking water quality classification.Results and DiscussionCorrelation analysis between water quality parameters shows a significant correlation between TDS, EC and TH parameters and also with Cl-, Ca2+ and Mg2+ parameters at the level of 1% in both Astaneh and Rudbar stations. On the other hand, the lowest values of Pearson correlation coefficient are related to pH and CO32- parameters with other quality parameters. The results of CA indicate that most of the water quality parameters are located in separate clusters. So only the parameters TDS, EC, Cl- and Na+ in both Rudbar and Astaneh stations are in the same cluster. The weights of the parameters showed that TDS and K+ are assigned with the highest and lowest weights equal to 0.163 and 0.031 based on PCA method. Also, PCA results show that first and second principal components covered 59.3% and 67.6% of the total variance of measured water quality parameters in Rudbar and Astaneh stations, respectively. Water quality classification results indicate that (40.5%, 16.4% and 23.7%) and (90.1%, 73.1% and 57.3%) of data in Rudbar and Astaneh stations, respectively, fell into the excellent and good categories for drinking purposes based on Schoeller classification, WHOWQI and SDWQI.ConclusionGenerally, the comparison of the SDWQI with the WHO index and the Schoeller classification shows the rigidity of the new index in the classification of water quality for drinking purposes. Each water quality index developed in order to evaluate the uncertainty of results, should be tested for data with different characteristics in terms of the range of variation with different limit values (minimum and maximum). The index developed in the present study is no exception to this rule and in order to better evaluate the results, it is suggested that to be evaluated and analyzed with data from other hydrometric stations. Another important points that should be considered in using any water quality index, including the present research index, is to examine the allowable limits of water quality parameters that are not considered in these indicators. The results of the study indicated that, two most important steps in the development of a quality index that have a great impact on its results are sub-indexing and weighting of parameters. According to the results, two ideas recommended for future research. One, choosing an appropriate method such as non-deterministic (fuzzy) and intelligent (machine learning) methods to sub-index the parameters and two, to weigh the parameters more effectively, multivariate statistical methods such as clustering, factor analysis and principal component analysis should be used.
Parisa Noorbeh; Abbas Roozbahani; Hamid Kardan Moghaddam
Abstract
Introduction: During the last decades, runoff decreasing is observed in our country as many dam reservoirs face water supply crisis even in normal periods. This decreasing trend is mainly due to the uncontrolled withdrawals, lack of supply and demand management as well as droughts. Using different flow ...
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Introduction: During the last decades, runoff decreasing is observed in our country as many dam reservoirs face water supply crisis even in normal periods. This decreasing trend is mainly due to the uncontrolled withdrawals, lack of supply and demand management as well as droughts. Using different flow prediction methods for surface water resources state analysis is important in water resources planning aspects. These methods can provide the possibility of planning for proper operation by using different factors to meet the needs of the region. Due to the stochastic nature of the hydrological processes, various models are used for prediction. Among these models, Bayesian Networks (BNs) probabilistic model has been considered by many researchers in recent years and it has shown the efficiency on these issues. Due to the growth of demand in different sectors and crises caused by drought of the water supply system that has put the basin under water stress, the water shortage has appeared in different sectors. Regarding to the strategic situation of Zayandeh Rood Dam in providing water resources for tap water, industry, agriculture and environmental water rights in Gavkhooni basin, this research presents the development of a model for prediction of Zayandeh Rood Dam annual inflow and hydrological wet and dry periods. Since the uncertainty of the predictions increase when the prediction horizon increases, this factor is the most important challenge of long-term prediction. Using Bayesian Network with reducing this uncertainty, provides the possibility of planning for water resources management, especially for optimal water allocation.
Materials and Methods: In this study for prediction of zayandeh Rood dam inflow five scenarios were defined by applying Bayesian Network Probabilistic approach. According to this, prediction of numerical annual dam inflow (scenario1), annual wet and dry hydrological periods (scenario 2, 3, 4) and range of annual inflow (scenario 5) were performed. For this purpose rainfall, runoff, snow, and discharge of transferred water to the basin from the first and the second tunnel of koohrang and Cheshmeh Langan tunnel were considered as predictor variables and the amount of Zayandeh Rood Dam inflow was selected as predictant for modeling and different conditions of input variable’s learning have been analyzed considering different patterns. Calibration and validation of the model have been done based on observed annual inflow data and the relevant predictors in scenario 1, by using SDI Hydrological drought index and long-term average of inflow to classify the runoff and clustering the other parameters in scenario 2, 3 and 4 and with classification of annual inflow data and other parameters by using clustering in scenario 5. To achieve this target, K-means method has been used for clustering and Davies-Bouldin and Silhouette Width has been used to determine optimal number of clusters.
Results and Discussion: The results of Bayesian Network modeling showed that the scenario 1 has a good potential to predict the dam inflow so that the best pattern of this scenario (considering discharge of first tunnel of Koohrang and Cheshmeh Langan tunnel, Zayandeh Rood natural inflow and rainfall with two years lag time as predictor variables), has had a correlation coefficient of 0.78 between observed and predicted dam inflow and relative error of 0.21 which shows an acceptable accuracy in prediction. Among scenarios 2, 3 and 4 for prediction of wet and dry hydrological periods, scenario 2 in which classification of runoff has been based on the long-term average, in the best pattern (with dam inflow with one-year lag predictor), is able to be predicted up to 75% accuracy. The analysis of the results showed that the scenario 5 is not very accurate in prediction of dam inflow’s range.
Conclusions: The results showed that the Bayesian Network model has a good efficiency to predict annual dam inflow numerically as well as hydrological dry and wet periods. Obtained results from prediction of hydrological dry and wet periods will be effective in better planning of water resources in order to considering possible ways of drought effect reduction. The overall results provide the possibility of water resources planning for the water authorities of this region. Systematic planning leads to optimal use of water and soil resources and helps considerably to analyze and modify the policy or rule curve of this dam for allocating water to downstream especially for agriculture and environment and industry sectors.
Moslem Akbarzadeh; Bijan Ghahraman; Kamran Davary
Abstract
Introduction: For water resources monitoring, Evaluation of groundwater quality obtained via detailed analysis of pollution data. The most fundamental analysis is to identify the exact measurement of dangerous zones and homogenous station identification in terms of pollution. In case of quality evaluation, ...
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Introduction: For water resources monitoring, Evaluation of groundwater quality obtained via detailed analysis of pollution data. The most fundamental analysis is to identify the exact measurement of dangerous zones and homogenous station identification in terms of pollution. In case of quality evaluation, the monitoring improvement could be achieved via identifying homogenous wells in terms of pollution. Presenting a method for clustering is essential in large amounts of quality data for aquifer monitoring and quality evaluation, including identification of homogeneous stations of monitoring network and their clustering based on pollution. In this study, with the purpose of Mashhad aquifer quality evaluation, clustering have been studied based on Euclidean distance and Entropy criteria. Cluster analysis is the task of grouping a set of objects in such a way that objects in the same group (called a cluster) are more similar (in some sense or another) to each other than to those in other groups (clusters). SNI as a combined entropy measure for clustering calculated from dividing mutual information of two values (pollution index values) to the joint entropy. These measures apply as similar distance criteria for monitoring stations clustering.
Materials and Methods: First, nitrate data (as pollution index) and electrical conductivity (EC) (as covariate) collected from the related locational situation of 287 wells in statistical period 2002 to 2011. Having identified the outlying data and estimating non-observed points by spatial-temporal Kriging method and then standardizes them, the clustering process was carried out. A similar distance of wells calculated through a clustering process based on Euclidean distance and Entropy (SNI) criteria. This difference explained by characteristics such as the location of wells (longitude & latitude) and the pollution index (nitrate). Having obtained a similar distance of each well to others, the hierarchical clustering was used. After calculating the distance matrix, clustering of 287 monitoring stations (wells) was conducted. The optimal number of clusters was proposed. Finally, in order to compare methods, the validation criteria of homogeneity (linear-moment) were used. The research process, including spatial-temporal Kriging, clustering, silhouette score and homogeneity test was performed using R software (version 3.1.2). R is a programming language and software environment for statistical computing and graphics supported by R foundation for statistical computing.
Results and Discussion: Considering 4 clusters, the silhouette score for Euclidean distance criteria was obtained 0.989 and for entropy (SNI) was 0.746. In both methods, excellent structure was obtained by 4 clusters. Since the values of H1 and H2 are less, clusters will be more homogeneous. So the results show the superiority of clustering based on entropy (SNI) criteria. However, according to the results, it seems there is more homogeneity of clustering with Euclidean distance in terms of geography, but the measure of entropy (SNI) has better performance in terms of variability of nitrate pollution index. To prove the nitrate pollution index effectiveness in clusters with entropy criteria, the removal of nitrate index, the results was influenced by location index. Also, by removing index locations from clustering process it was found that in clusters with Euclidean distance criteria, the influence of nitrate values is much less. Also, compared to Euclidean distance, better performance was obtained by Entropy based on probability occurrence of nitrate values.
Conclusion: Results showed that the best clustering structure will obtain by 4 homogenous clusters. Considering wells distribution and average of the linear-moment, the method based on entropy criteria is superior to the Euclidean distance method. Nitrate variability also played a significant role in identification of homogeneous stations based on entropy. Therefore, we could identify homogenous wells in terms of nitrate pollution index variability based on entropy clustering, which would be an important and effective step in Mashhad aquifer monitoring and evaluation of its quality. Also, in order to evaluate and optimize the monitoring network, it could be emphasized on network optimization necessity and approach selection. Accordingly, less monitoring network clusters lead more homogeneous. Therefore the optimization approach will be justified from increasing to decreasing. In this case the monitoring costs, including drilling, equipment, sampling, maintenance and laboratory analysis, also reduce.
Mohammad Nazeri Tahrudi; Keivan Khalili; Farshad Ahmadi
Abstract
Introduction: Climate change has been one the most important subject in studies in the recent decades. Precipitation is an effective climatic parameter in the municipal and rural studies and in the industry, architecture, agriculture, climate and other fields. Trend analysis of average monthly and yearly ...
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Introduction: Climate change has been one the most important subject in studies in the recent decades. Precipitation is an effective climatic parameter in the municipal and rural studies and in the industry, architecture, agriculture, climate and other fields. Trend analysis of average monthly and yearly rainfall investigated in many studies, but less researches probe regional rainfall analysis. In this study average yearly precipitation data measured at 31 synoptic stations of Iran in the period of 1961 to 2010 used to study regional variations of precipitation. In this order station divided to five regions by fuzzy clustering. Then, using the regional Kendall method, trend of precipitation investigated at five regions and all of Iran.
Materials and Methods: Iran with an area of over 16480000 square kilometers is situated in the northern hemisphere and southwest of Asia. Almost all parts of Iran have four seasons. In general, a year can be divided into two warm and cold seasons. Iran with range annual precipitation of 62.1-344.8 mm is located between two meridians of eastern 44° and 64° and two orbits of northern 40° and 25°. In order to investigate trend of precipitation two Mann-Kendall and Regional Kendall tests used. Also to evaluate the regional trends the Fuzzy method applied to clustering the studied region. The classic form of Mann-Kendall test has been used in many studies. The null hypothesis (no trends) is accepted when , otherwise H0 is rejected and its opposite hypothesis, i.e. the existence of a trend is accepted (5, 13). To estimate regional trend, the mean S statistic of Regional Mann-Kendall introduced that was presented by Douglas et al (7). Fuzzy Clustering: Clustering the studied area was done using the Fuzzy clustering method. One of the first clustering methods that were based on the objective function and Euclidean distance was presented by Dunn in 1974 and then was generalized by Bezdak in 1981.The FCM clustering algorithm is modified type of K-Means clustering algorithm. This algorithm minimizes the variance of clusters (1). The assumption of this algorithm is that data are in a vector space and the objective of this algorithm is to minimize the sum of variance in the D v cluster.
Results and Discussion: In this section the results of decreasing and increasing trend of annual precipitation of Iran can be observed in order to the data that recorded at provinces synoptic stations in the 1 and 5 percentage significance levels. Isfahan Synoptic station detected an increasing trend insignificant level of 5 percentages and the East Azerbaijan synoptic station followed a significant and severe decreasing trends. In order to investigate regional trend it is needed to use the clustering methods. After investigation the trend of mean annual precipitation at each station, the studied area was clustered using the Fuzzy clustering method and then the regional trend of Iran’s precipitation was evaluated. At first the number of different clusters investigated using the geographic properties and mean annual precipitation of the studied area and then with attention to the correlation of precipitation series in each cluster, five clusters selected to investigate the regional trend of precipitation. Overall the results showed that about 67 percentages of synoptic stations in center of provinces detected decreasing trend in the recent half century. Increasing the precipitation almost accrued in the center and northern part of Iran and other areas detected a decreasing precipitation trend in the studied data period that this subject is corresponded with Azerakhshi and et al (2). The observed trends over Iran and almost all stations and provinces were downward trend. This decreasing trend of precipitation also observed in Iran in the two past decades by Khalili et al (13).
Conclusion: Result showed decreasing trend in the west, north of Iran at each station and regional scale. Results indicated also a significant downward trend at northwest, central and south-west of the country, non-significant downward trend in western of Iran and non-significant upward trends in northern regions and Caspian Sea margins in the regional analysis. The most decreasing trend of precipitation observed at the north west of Iran because of increasing temperature and climate changes in the recent years.
