Cycles Analysis of Time Discharge and Rainfall Series of Mashinekhaneh Station (Garakanrood of Talesh Catchment)

Document Type : Research Article

Authors

• H. Asakereh
• R. Khoshraftar
• F. Sotudeh

10.22067/jsw.v1391i0.16931

Abstract

Rainfall and debit of rivers are two tempo-spatial non-linear and changeable factors. One way to study and analysis these parameters is investigate appearance and latent oscillations. Spectral Analysis is a useful technique to reveal these oscillations in time series. In this paper it has been attempted to detect cycles in rainfall and debit time series at Mashinkhaneh station in Talesh (Garakanrood) catchment’s during Mehr 1354 to Shahrivar 1386 in the three time scales (annual, seasonal and monthly). Accordingly, the discharge and precipitation data at Mashinkhaneh station in Talesh (Garakanrood) catchment from Mehr 1354 to Shahrivar 1386 have been used. The results of applying the spectral analysis procedures to discharge and rainfall time series in each three category of time scales, suggested the absence of significant non-sinusoidal (trend) in the 95% confidence level. However, significantly sinusoidal cycles various in the two time series were extracted. The 2-4 year cycle, and 4-5.3 years have the most occurrences in the both time series. In the annual scale, 6.4 years cycle, 2-5.3 years, 7.7 years seasonal and 2-4, 4- 5.3, 6.4, 8, 10.7 and 16 year in the monthly scale cycles has been extracted. Studies carried out by many researchers indicate that the mentioned cycles are in relation with oscillation periods of ENSO, NAO and QBO in other parts of the world.

Keywords

• Precipitation
• discharge
• Trend
• Sinusoidal Cycle
• Spectrum Analysis
• Garakanrood of Talesh

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