Regional Assessment of Climate Change Using Statistical Tests:Case Study of Gorganroud-Gharehsou Basin

Document Type : Research Article

Authors

• F. Modaresi
• Sh. Araghinejad
• K. Ebrahimi
• M. Kholghy

University of Tehran

10.22067/jsw.v0i0.3613

Abstract

Abstract
Despite the significance of climate change assessment on regional planning of a basin, most of the previous researches have been focused on the point assessment of this phenomenon. This paper uses statistical tests as well as regional assessment to investigate the impact of climate change on the Gorganroud-Gharehsou basin. In this regard, various tests including Man-Kendall, Cumulating Deviation, and Worsley’s Liklyhood Ratio Test have been applied to recognize the homogeneity and probable trend of seasonal and annual rainfall as well as max and min temperature data in the period of 1977 through 2006. Then, the results were generalized over the basin to result in the regions affected by the climate change impact. The results show that first: Non-homogen time series (sig.99%) have been trends (sig.95%). Second: an increasing trend in Autumn and Anuual rainfall in the north-east of the basin (sig.90%). Furthermore, the climate change is demonstrated in the basin by increasing the minimum and maximum temperature during the summer and winter seasons (sig.95%).

Keywords: Climate Change, Regional assessment, Homogeneity, Trend, Gorganroud-Gharehsou

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