A Downscaling Model Based on K-nearestneighbor(K-NN) Non-parametric Method

Document Type : Research Article

Authors

Abstract
General Circulation Models (GCMs) have been identifiedas asuitable tool for studying climate change. Butthese models simulate climatic parametersinthe large-scale which has poor performance in the simulation of processes such asrain fall-run off. There fore, several of down scaling methods were developed. This researchis presented down scaling model based onk-nearest neighbor (K-NN) non-parametric method. The modelis used to simulate daily precipitation data in Ahvaz station for the next period (2015-2044) under climate change scenarios based on out puts of three General Circulation Models, including HADCM3, NCARPC Mand CSIROMK3.5. The results indicate that them odelhasa high capacity for down scaling data. It is predicted that the frequency of storm is increased with high intensity on future period in Ahvaz station while dry spells will be prolonged.

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Volume 26, Issue 4 - Serial Number 4
Summer 2012
Pages 799-808

  • Receive Date 11 September 2012
  • First Publish Date 22 October 2012