Nowadays, modeling and prediction of climatic parameters due to climate change, global warming and the recent droughts is inevitable. Maximum and minimum temperatures are including climatic parameters that are important in water resources management and agriculture. In order to model the maximum and minimum monthly temperatures of Mashhad plain, the long- term data of Mashhad and Golmakan were used for the joint period from 1987 to 2008. The SARIMA(0,0,0)(0,1,1)12 model for maximum monthly temperature and the SARIMA(0,0,0)(2,1,1)12 model for minimum monthly temperature were determined as the final models using time series. High correlation coefficientsindicate acceptable adaptation of modeling and actual values in the calibration and validation of models. Finlay, predictions were performed based on models fitted for the next 10 years (2009-2018). Comparison of results for future period (2009-2018) and the base period (1987-2008) represents maximum temperature mean 1 °c increase and minimum temperature mean 1.4 °cincrease.
Shabani, B., Mousavi Baygi, M., Jabbari Nooghabi, M., & Ghareman, B. (2013). Modeling and Prediction of Monthly Max & MinTemperatures of Mashhad Plain Using Time Series Models. Water and Soil, 27(5), 896-906. doi: 10.22067/jsw.v0i0.31183
MLA
B. Shabani; M. Mousavi Baygi; Mehdi Jabbari Nooghabi; B. Ghareman. "Modeling and Prediction of Monthly Max & MinTemperatures of Mashhad Plain Using Time Series Models". Water and Soil, 27, 5, 2013, 896-906. doi: 10.22067/jsw.v0i0.31183
HARVARD
Shabani, B., Mousavi Baygi, M., Jabbari Nooghabi, M., Ghareman, B. (2013). 'Modeling and Prediction of Monthly Max & MinTemperatures of Mashhad Plain Using Time Series Models', Water and Soil, 27(5), pp. 896-906. doi: 10.22067/jsw.v0i0.31183
VANCOUVER
Shabani, B., Mousavi Baygi, M., Jabbari Nooghabi, M., Ghareman, B. Modeling and Prediction of Monthly Max & MinTemperatures of Mashhad Plain Using Time Series Models. Water and Soil, 2013; 27(5): 896-906. doi: 10.22067/jsw.v0i0.31183
)
Send comment about this article