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مقایسه روش‌های پارامتریک و تجربی در ارزیابی اثرات حفاری تونل بر آبدهی چشمه‌ها: مطالعه موردی تونل انتقال آب هزارمسجد

نوع مقاله : مقالات پژوهشی

نویسندگان

1 دانشکده علوم زمین، دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز

2 دانشجوی کارشناسی‌ارشد هیدروژئولوژی، دانشکده علوم زمین، دانشگاه شهید چمران اهواز، اهواز، ایران

3 دکترای هیدروژئولوژی؛ کارشناس منابع آب؛ آب منطقه ای تهران

10.22067/jsw.2026.98028.1530
چکیده
حفر تونل‌های انتقال آب، اگرچه نقش مهمی در تأمین پایدار منابع آبی ایفا می‌کند، اما می‌تواند موجب اختلالات جدی در رژیم هیدروژئولوژیکی و کاهش آبدهی چشمه‌ها شود. در این پژوهش، اثرات احتمالی حفاری تونل انتقال آب هزارمسجد در شمال شرق ایران بر 45 چشمه پیرامونی، با استفاده از دو رویکرد پارامتریک DHI (شاخص خطر افت) و تجربی TIS (شاخص اثر تونل بر آبدهی منابع آب) مورد ارزیابی و مقایسه قرار گرفت. منطقه مورد مطالعه در زون ساختاری کپه‌داغ واقع شده و با گسترش سازندهای آهکی مزدوران و تیرگان، شکستگی‌های تکتونیکی فعال و تراکم بالای چشمه‌ها شناخته می‌شود. در روش DHI، هفت پارامتر هیدروژئولوژیکی و هندسی شامل نفوذپذیری، فراوانی شکستگی، ضخامت روباره، زون پلاستیک، ارتباط با گسل، نوع چشمه و فاصله از تونل لحاظ شد. در مقابل، روش TIS بر چهار عامل عملکردی شامل شدت آب ورودی به تونل، فاصله چشمه – تونل، ارتباط هیدرولیکی و قابلیت تغذیه مجدد آبخوان متمرکز است. نتایج DHI نشان می‌دهد که حدود 11 درصد از چشمه‌ها در معرض کاهش شدید آبدهی تا خشکیدگی کامل قرار دارند، در حالی که اکثریت چشمه‌ها کاهش بخشی یا ناچیز را تجربه خواهند کرد. طبقه‌بندی TIS نیز نشان داد که 5 چشمه در کلاس افت قابل توجه، 20 چشمه در کلاس افت متوسط و 20 چشمه در کلاس بدون تأثیر قرار می‌گیرند. مقایسه نتایج حاکی از آن است که DHI در تبیین مکانیزم‌های ساختاری نشت و TIS در اولویت‌بندی مدیریتی و پیامد‌محور چشمه‌ها کارآمدتر است. استفاده توأمان از این دو روش، چارچوبی قابل اعتماد برای مدیریت مخاطرات هیدروژئولوژیکی پروژه‌های تونل‌سازی فراهم می‌کند.

کلیدواژه‌ها

موضوعات

عنوان مقاله English

Comparison of Parametric and Empirical Approaches for Assessing Tunnel Excavation Impacts on Spring Discharge: A Case Study of the Hezarmasjed Water Conveyance Tunnel

نویسندگان English

Amir Saberinasr 1
Fatemeh Ghatrani-nejad 2
Majid Dashti Barmaki 3
1 Faculty of Earth Sciences, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz
2 Graduate Student (M.Sc.) in Hydrogeology, Faculty of Earth Sciences, Shahid Chamran University of Ahvaz, Ahvaz, Iran
3 PhD in Hydrogeology; Water Resources Specialist; Tehran Regional Water Authority
چکیده English

Introduction

Water conveyance tunnels are critical infrastructures for sustainable water supply, particularly in arid and semi-arid regions. However, tunnel excavation can significantly alter groundwater systems, leading to hazards such as sudden groundwater inflow, reduction in aquifer storage, and deterioration of water quantity and quality (Zheng et al., 2021; Li et al., 2024). In fractured and karstic environments, these impacts may propagate over large distances, potentially modifying regional hydrogeological regimes (Chen, 2021; Sadique et al., 2025).

To address these challenges, various predictive approaches have been developed, including numerical modeling, parametric methods, hybrid techniques, and empirical models. Although numerical models provide detailed insights, they require extensive datasets and complex calibration, which limits their applicability in heterogeneous geological settings (Vincenzi et al., 2022). Consequently, parametric and empirical methods such as the Drainage Hazard Index (DHI) and Tunnel Impact Score (TIS) have gained increasing attention due to their flexibility, simplicity, and suitability for preliminary assessments and real-time decision-making (Dematteis et al., 2001; Hassanpour et al., 2021; Abedian & Mojiri, 2023).

The Hezarmasjed water conveyance tunnel, located in northeastern Iran within the Kopet-Dagh tectonic zone, traverses a highly fractured carbonate system hosting numerous springs. Given the dependence of local communities on these springs, assessing the potential impacts of tunnel excavation is essential. This study aims to identify the main controlling factors governing spring discharge variations and to evaluate the vulnerability of springs using both DHI and TIS approaches.



Materials and Methods

The study area is situated in a structurally complex mountainous region characterized by active tectonics, heterogeneous lithology, and significant hydrogeological sensitivity. The tunnel, approximately 8.8 km in length, intersects several geological formations, including carbonate units (Mozduran and Tirgan) acting as primary aquifers, and shale-dominated formations with low permeability. Groundwater flow is predominantly controlled by fracture networks and karstification processes, resulting in rapid hydrological responses to precipitation events.

A total of 45 springs were investigated at varying distances from the tunnel axis. Field data included hydrogeological observations, Lugeon permeability tests, and structural analyses. Permeability values generally ranged from 10⁻⁷ to 2.5×10⁻⁶ m/s, indicating low to moderate hydraulic conductivity, with higher values in fractured and karstified zones.

Two complementary methods were employed for impact assessment. The DHI method (Dematteis et al., 2001) is a semi-quantitative parametric approach based on seven key parameters, including fracture frequency, rock mass permeability, overburden thickness, plastic zone radius, fault–spring interaction, spring type, and distance from the tunnel. These parameters were normalized and combined to calculate a continuous index representing the risk of spring discharge reduction.

The TIS method (Hassanpour et al., 2021) is an empirical approach that evaluates spring vulnerability based on four main factors: tunnel water inflow (40% weight), hydraulic connectivity (40%), distance from the tunnel (15%), and aquifer recharge capacity (5%). The method provides a classification of impact severity, ranging from negligible to significant discharge reduction.



Results and Discussion

The DHI results indicate that spring vulnerability is primarily controlled by structural and hydrogeological parameters, particularly fracture density and permeability. Calculated DHI values range from 0.1 to 1.5, demonstrating a wide spectrum of potential impacts. Approximately 11% of springs are classified as highly to critically affected (DHI ≥ 0.6), while the majority (about 89%) are expected to experience minor to moderate discharge reductions. Springs with high DHI values are typically located in highly fractured carbonate formations with strong hydraulic connectivity, where tunnel excavation acts as a drainage boundary, intercepting groundwater flow paths (Vincenzi et al., 2022; Saberinasr & Dashti Barmaki, 2023).

In contrast, springs located in low-permeability formations or at greater distances from the tunnel exhibit minimal sensitivity, with DHI values below 0.2. More than 70% of springs fall within an intermediate range, indicating moderate but persistent reductions due to partial hydraulic connectivity.

The TIS results highlight the importance of dynamic hydrogeological parameters, particularly tunnel water inflow and hydraulic connectivity. TIS values range from 1.6 to 6.9, reflecting significant variability in system response. Approximately 44% of springs are classified as unaffected, 44% experience moderate discharge reduction, and around 12% are subject to significant decline.

High-risk springs, such as Sirzar and Bamchenar, exhibit strong hydraulic connectivity and are located within sensitive recharge zones. Notably, the results indicate that hydraulic connectivity can dominate system behavior even at distances exceeding 1000 m, confirming previous findings that connectivity is more influential than geometric proximity (Hassanpour et al., 2021).

Conversely, springs located in areas with higher recharge capacity and weaker hydraulic connectivity show minimal impact, even when tunnel inflow is relatively high. This behavior reflects the buffering capacity of aquifer systems, which can partially compensate for tunnel-induced drainage.

A comparative analysis of the two methods demonstrates that the DHI approach emphasizes intrinsic geological and structural conditions, providing a continuous representation of vulnerability, whereas the TIS method focuses on functional aquifer responses and offers a more practical classification of impact severity. The consistency between both methods in identifying high-risk springs supports the reliability of the integrated approach.



Conclusion

This study demonstrates that tunnel excavation can significantly affect groundwater systems, particularly in fractured and karstic aquifers. The integrated application of DHI and TIS methods provides a comprehensive framework for assessing these impacts.

The DHI method is effective for identifying intrinsic vulnerability and worst-case scenarios, highlighting the role of geological structures, permeability, and fracture density. Approximately 11% of springs are at high to critical risk, while most are expected to experience moderate impacts.

In contrast, the TIS method offers a more operational perspective by incorporating dynamic hydrogeological parameters, classifying springs into significant, moderate, and negligible impact categories. The results emphasize the dominant role of hydraulic connectivity and aquifer recharge capacity in controlling system response.

Overall, the combined use of parametric and empirical approaches enhances the reliability of impact assessments and provides a robust basis for groundwater management in tunnel projects. This integrated methodology is particularly suitable for complex hydrogeological environments where data limitations restrict the application of numerical models.

کلیدواژه‌ها English

Groundwater inflow
Hydraulic connectivity
Drying
Drawdown Hazard Index (DHI)
Tunneling Impact on Springs discharge (TIS)
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